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Prediction of Land Change and Potential of Oil Palm Plantations Based on Land Suitability in Penajam Paser Utara Distrcit
Last modified: 2022-12-01
Abstract
The significant growth of the oil palm plantation area in the Penajam Paser Utara District has led to land conversion inrecent years. This study aims to analyze land-use changes, predict the location of oil palm plantations in 2031, and identify landsuitability areas for oil palm plantations. Changes and predictions of land-use, especially oil palm plantations, were obtained using theCellular Automata-Markov Chain model. To determine the area of land suitability for oil palm plantations, this study the overlaymethod. This study indicates that the land-use from 2009, 2014, and 2020 is dominated by scrub forest, mixed gardens, and oil palmplantations. In 2031, oil palm plantations are predicted to increase in land area in research area. This followed by land suitability foroil plam plantations in areas with relatively sloping topography, optimal rainfall, and moderate to high soil C-organic content.